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Growth, Imports and Inequality
One of the striking features of the Indian economy in recent years has been a sharp rise in the share of the trade deficit in the gross domestic product. While the period of high GDP growth was characterised by an even faster widening of the trade deficit, the subsequent slowdown has not reduced the deficit proportionately. The widening of the trade deficit in GDP has been primarily due to a similar rise in the import-GDP ratio. One of the main reasons for the rise in the import-GDP ratio, and the persistence of a high trade deficit is rising inequality in the economy.
Non-incriminating thanks are due to Jayati Ghosh, Sunanda Sen and Surajit Das who gave valuable comments on an earlier draft of this paper. We also thank an anonymous referee whose detailed comments on an earlier draft helped us in improving the paper.